Research
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will impact the future of fossil fuel-exposed companies and projects. This analysis helps the investment community better understand the financial implications of tackling climate change
Popular Reports
Absolute Impact: Why Oil and Gas Companies Need...
Oil
12 May 2022
Shell’s Energy Transition Progress Report: Still...
Oil
06 May 2022
The Sky’s the Limit: Solar and wind energy...
Energy transition
23 April 2021
Flying blind: The glaring absence of climate risks in...
Climate risk disclosure
16 September 2021
Our Latest Research
Oil
Analyst Note
12 May 2022
Absolute Impact: Why Oil and Gas Companies Need...
Oil and gas companies are still failing to commit to the absolute emissions reductions necessary to link their businesses to the finite...
Oil
Flash Note
06 May 2022
Shell’s Energy Transition Progress Report: Still lacking absolute emissions Scope 3 interim targets
Shell recently published its first Energy Transition Progress Report. The document has been produced ahead of the AGM on 24 May 2022,...
Gas
Report
08 April 2022
Stop Fuelling Uncertainty: Why Asia should avoid the LNG trap
The risks associated with gas infrastructure investment have never been higher This report continues our series exploring the long-term...
Climate risk disclosure
Blog
28 March 2022
CA100+ a long way from destination
None of the CA100+ focus companies within upstream oil & gas production or coal & gas-powered electricity generation have capital...
Gas
Blog
02 March 2022
Clean energy can help undermine Russia and strengthen Europe
Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine has created terrible consequences for those living inside Ukraine, but at the same time it has...
Energy transition
Blog
28 February 2022
Out of the frying pan and into the fire: the heat is building on climate adaptation
As temperatures accelerate towards 1.5˚C, near-term actions that limit global warming would reduce losses and damages related to climate...Popular Reads
Absolute Impact: Why Oil and Gas Companies Need Credible Plans to Meet Climate Targets
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
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Shell’s Energy Transition Progress Report: Still lacking absolute emissions Scope 3 interim targets
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
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Today the Supreme Court hears oral arguments in the case of West Virginia v. EPA. The case centers on the EPA’s ability to...
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With respect to asset retirement obligations in the oil patch, every regulator has to answer three questions: How do you...
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Why Jordan Peterson Should Think Again on the Energy Transition
Energy transition Blog February 2022On a recent episode of Joe Rogan’s controversial and highly influential podcast, Canadian psychology professor and best-selling...
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Poland’s Energy Dilemma: New gas power traps taxpayers in a costly...
Gas Analyst Note February 2022Poland is approaching a key point in determining the future direction of its power system and the technologies that it wishes to...
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Late last month ExxonMobil launched its Advancing Climate Solutions – 2022 Progress Report,[1] which describes how it is...
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Opinion: Liberalisation and decarbonisation are a recipe for volatility
Energy transition Guest Blog February 2022Market-based pricing for gas saved EU consumers billions – until this winter's energy crunch came along. Europe’s exposure to...
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Managing Peak Oil: Why rising oil prices could create a stranded asset...
Oil Analyst Note January 2022Firms can avoid wasting $500bn with managed approach to transition in Inevitable Policy Response scenario even if oil demand...
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Carbon Tracker recently announced that it was creating a Global Registry of Fossil Fuels, the “Registry,” which will be a...
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As a candidate President Biden spoke of the need to act on climate change and said, “it requires action, not denial…...
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Tackling the Methane problem: why investors should drive change at...
Energy transition Blog January 2022To keep 1.5°C alive, immediate action on methane emissions is required from the oil and gas industry, with significant impact...
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2021 Wrapped Up Here is an infographic of the key events that took place at Carbon Tracker and in the climate space in...
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We welcome the recent announcement that South Africa has struck a deal to access concessional financing of $8.5bn over the next...
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Recently I wrote about how the Biden Administration’s efforts to fight climate change could be sailing into rough waters after...
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Third Point, the US activist hedge fund, has recently proposed a significant change to the corporate structure of Shell,...
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In January, the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (COGCC) will vote on the new financial assurance rules for Colorado,...
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Right now, global energy commodity prices remain close to long-term highs despite recent declines. But short-term strength in...
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After months of legislative negotiations, the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure bill made it through Congress and was signed by...
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Mergers and acquisition (M&A) activity is shaking up the Australian oil and gas sector. In two proposed all-share deals,...
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When a well is drilled, a legal obligation to plug the well and reclaim the surface is created This is a critical aspect of...
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The Chinese government has been sending mixed messages on its long-term climate ambitions once again On the one hand, an...
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$110 billion of coal plants owned by listed Asian utilities could become uneconomic as the world takes action to meet climate...
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Repsol has seemingly upped its emissions cutting game In early October, responding to shareholder pressure, Repsol announced a...
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Summary As the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission’s (COGCC) seeks to fulfill its statutory mandate to “require...
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Unabated gas plants’ future role in the power system should be predominantly limited to backup reserve to allow for flexible...
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There is a paradox at the heart of expertise: those who have accumulated the most authority in an industry are often those least...
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Race to the Top: Internalising oil and gas retirement costs
Climate risk disclosure Report October 2021Compared to other large oil and gas producing states, California and Ohio rank last in forcing the closure of idled, abandoned...
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Colorado’s ineffective financial assurance and well plugging rules have allowed the growth of a large portfolio of marginal and...
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Flying blind: The glaring absence of climate risks in financial reporting
Climate risk disclosure Report September 2021Investors are Flying Blind as over 70% of reviewed companies and 80% of auditors fail to disclose climate-related risks in the...
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Committing to net zero is not enough – the emissions reduction pathway is critical Carbon Tracker’s fifth annual...
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The world has changed a lot since Paris; so too should the logic of climate mitigation. Mitigating climate change is no longer...
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On Monday 9th August, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) delivered a climate report warning of ‘code red for...
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In less than 100 days COP26 will start. Many agree that this year’s conference is being held at a critical moment. To...
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Spiralling Disruption: The feedback loops of the energy transition
Energy transition Analyst Note August 2021The fossil energy system is falling over the edge of the demand cliff. 2019 was likely peak fossil fuel demand and this marks...
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Financial assurance requirements are universally considered to be too low to pay for plugging and abandoning wells. An inventory...
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Fossil fuel electricity generation has peaked worldwide as emerging market countries seize the opportunities of low-cost...
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Renewables continue to increase their cost competitiveness versus coal, with 27% of the global coal fleet unprofitable today. Do...
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Recently, we submitted a letter in response to the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Public Input on Climate Change...
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The election of President Joe Biden brought a seismic shift in U.S. government policy toward climate change. In addition to...
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Oil and gas companies are increasingly announcing new climate goals as they seek to maintain a social licence to...
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Ending the use of coal for power generation in South Korea by 2028 is not only possible but also the most economical option in...
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The IEA’s latest piece on minerals[1] critical to the energy transition gives a rather pessimistic spin to what was some very...
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In the run up to COP 26 many oil and gas companies have announced ‘net-zero by 2050’ targets. However, very few companies...
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The Sky’s the Limit: Solar and wind energy potential is 100 times as...
Energy transition Report April 2021Solar and wind potential is far higher than that of fossil fuels and can meet global energy demand many times over, unlocking...
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A cost-optimized analysis for a renewables investment schedule for South Korea shows that a more ambitious rollout of renewable...
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Shell and Eni’s recent strategy updates have highlighted a key emerging point in the debate on oil and gas companies’...
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As the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (COGCC) weighs competing demands of protecting the state finances and...
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A Tale of Two Share Issues: How fossil fuel equity offerings are losing...
Climate risk disclosure Analyst Note March 2021The value of share offerings in fossil fuel producing and related companies dropped by $123 billion in the last decade,...
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There’s a quip about lawyers that goes 99% of attorneys give the rest a bad name. The same can be said about oil producers...
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A Clean Energy Portfolio (CEP) is already more competitive than new combined-cycle gas plants (CCGTs) in Italy. Foot Off the Gas...
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Nel presente studio analizziamo l’attuabilità finanziaria di nuove centrali a gas in Italia, confrontandone il costo con...
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“Having looked to government for bread, on the first scarcity they will turn and bite the hand that fed them.” Edmund...
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2020 was a tough year for big oil. Short-term demand was hammered by the impacts of Covid-19, while the ever-growing...
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When it comes to oilfield plugging obligations, industry voices contend that industry has the problem in hand.[1] And where it...
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Emissions trajectories continue to bend lower Last month, both Shell and Eni revised their scope 3 emissions plans, updating...
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Betting on new gas today means shouldering consumers with higher prices tomorrow as well as missing the net zero pathway the UK...
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Can a virus and viral ideas speed the world’s journey beyond fossil...
Analyst Notes Analyst Note February 2021Smart investments and viral ideas in pandemic recovery and contagious new tools for deeper, cheaper energy efficiency could speed...
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As Colorado considers improvements to its oil and gas regulations, some will undoubtedly point to its idle well program as a...
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This weekend marks the end of the first month of the Biden Presidency. In the weeks since the inauguration we have seen a wave...
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Beyond Petrostates: The burning need to cut oil dependence in the energy...
Oil Report February 2021Fossil fuel-reliant countries could see a drop of 51% in government oil and gas revenues in a shift to a low-carbon world over...
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Colorado drillers pay pennies on the dollar to plug oil wells
Climate risk disclosure Blog February 2021The Colorado Oil & Gas Compact Commission (COGCC) is considering improvements to its oil and gas bonding regime. These...
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To ensure companies meet their obligations to plug oil and gas wells and reclaim drilling sites, Colorado regulations require oil...
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Kingsmill Bond on BBC News talking Joe Biden’s Presidency & the...
Energy transition Blog January 2021Carbon Tracker's New Energy Strategist Kingsmill Bond argues the election of Joe Biden on a ticket to restore America's climate...
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2021 is a year of opportunity; one of resetting, reshaping and a chance to remove distortions that hinder an orderly energy...
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Amid rising tension the final votes of the 2020 US election were cast last week. By electing Democrats Raphael Warnock and John...
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Carbon Tracker's Christmas Cracker had a makeover in 2020. This infographic originally went out in our December newsletter,...
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Groundhog Pay: How executive incentives trap companies in a loop of fossil...
Oil Analyst Note December 2020The energy transition will require oil and gas companies to fundamentally change the way they do business. Groundhog Pay...
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For the past two years, the Green New Deal (GND) has driven the conversation about how to address climate change. It has been the...
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2020 has, to put it mildly, been full of surprises. Oil and gas companies, long predictable and averse to change, have even...
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The oil and gas industry, like many other commodity industries, has long been characterised by volatility, instability and...
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Nothing to lose but your chains: The emerging market transport leapfrog
Energy transition Analyst Note November 2020Falling battery prices and the decarbonisation of transport systems in emerging markets will reduce dependency on oil imports and...
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Guest post by Carbon Tracker advisory board member Nick Robins - reposted with permission from the author If there is one...
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The exit of Trump removes the greatest impediment to the energy transition, and will unleash a great era of creativity and...
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Explorers use maps intensively, but they take the information recorded in the charts they use with a few grains of salt, knowing...
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A key tipping point was reached in 2019. Global demand for fossil fuels peaked and is unlikely ever to recover to its pre-crisis...
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Between 2014 and the end of 2019, ExxonMobil 's return to shareholders was negative 10%. In September 2014, Carbon Tracker...
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Given the 24 hour news cycle around the US Congressional and Presidential Election, it would be easy to focus only on what...
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Fault Lines: How diverging oil and gas company strategies link to stranded...
Oil Report October 2020In a series of reports since 2011, Carbon Tracker has shown the financial and stranded asset risks to fossil fuel producers...
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Proposals to enhance climate-related disclosures by listed issuers and...
Climate risk disclosure Report October 2020Carbon Tracker and Assurance Mark were given the opportunity to comment on the FCA’s above-referenced proposals (the...
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The Texas-based company Vistra recently announced that they will close six coal power plants and cut their coal generating...
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During her presidential campaign announcement, Senator Amy Klobuchar declared that on her first day in office she would take the...
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There are 2.6 million unplugged onshore wells in the U.S., with another estimated 1.2 million that are undocumented. In It’s...
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"Nobody move! I have a hostage. If anyone follows us, I'll kill myself and then her." Roy Miller, Knight and Day A classic...
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As part of a UK government-funded project to support the Philippines power sector stakeholders navigate the shifts, risks and...
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Passing transformative climate change legislation through the U.S. Congress will be one of the major legislative battles of this...
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One of the world’s leading energy forecasters released a report this morning arguing that 2019 was the peak of the fossil fuel...
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The Future’s Not in Plastics: Why plastics demand won’t rescue the oil...
Energy transition Analyst Note September 2020The oil and petrochemical industries are betting their future growth prospects on demand for plastics. But plastics demand is...
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"Oil and gas companies are hurtling toward bankruptcy, raising fears that wells will be left leaking planet-warming pollutants,...
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BP has elaborated on its strategy to deliver net zero – cutting oil and gas production by “at least” 40% by...
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Last Call – States’ final chance to avoid the clean-up tab for big...
Climate risk disclosure Blog July 2020The coronavirus pandemic has caused a sharp decline in oil demand, putting intense pressure on oil companies with large...
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Click here to view Carbon Tracker's Annual Review 2019 In 2019 our objective was to accelerate the energy transition by...
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Carbon Tracker's modelling shows no new oil sands are needed in a low carbon world. Prospective pipelines and projects represent...
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Although coal has long been viewed as the cheapest way to power the global economy, this is no longer the case. New renewable...
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With 46 GW of renewable energy capacity, Enel is the largest private operator of renewable energy globally. [i] [ii] Enel also...
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There is growing recognition that drastic changes to oil and gas consumption are required to meet the finite limits of a global...
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The Earth's temperatures continue to rise causing catastrophic climate change. The risks of climate change are having major...
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Carbon Tracker pioneered work on the oil and gas industry’s “stranded assets”; as investors increasingly ask whether oil...
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The oil industry’s financial statements reflect climate change conflict Oil and gas companies have never been under more...
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Key findings: Our research shows that UK Export Finance supports upstream oil projects that seem very likely to become...
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Decline and Fall: The Size & Vulnerability of the Fossil Fuel System
Energy transition Report June 2020The energy transition is disrupting the entire fossil fuel system, with profound consequences for financial markets and...
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This blog was originally posted here on 26 May 2020. It is reprinted with permission. The world of Environmental, Social and...
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The sudden economic downturn brought on by the Coronavirus threatens to cripple the finances of U.S state governments. The...
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The COVID-19 pandemic shut economies, disrupted established global production chains and pressed an indefinite pause on the...
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At the end of February, Italian oil major Eni announced new carbon emissions reduction plans. While not aiming for net zero...
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In ancient Greek theatre, deus ex machina (“god from the machine”) is when a seemingly intractable plot issue is...
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This blog updates our 2018 note Carbon Budgets Explained. Carbon budgets – the amount of carbon dioxide emissions permitted...
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The Covid-19 crisis is showing up the oil and gas industry’s exposure to the threat of falling demand, a forewarning of what...
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The IEA on Thursday[1] released some eye-watering projections for energy demand declines in 2020 in the light of the Covid19...
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The 2019 report on the Speed of the Energy Transition by the World Economic Forum Global Future Council on Energy described two...
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One of last year’s key developments relating to climate change risks was a handful of fossil fuel producers agreeing to show...
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South Korea needs to phase-out unabated gas by 2050 in a Paris-aligned scenario or potentially risk $60 billion in stranded...
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Written by: Greg Rogers, Theron Horton, Rob Schuwerk Is the goal to get out all of the oil, or get out of the retirement...
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The arms race in setting carbon emissions targets is such that Shell, once one of the industry leaders when it announced its...
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Building and operating coal power is becoming a political decision that increasingly conflicts with underlying economic...
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At this time of crisis, the immediate issue is to solve the health and economic emergencies, and we salute the heroes of the...
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I was sitting in a hot tub in Leningrad in the summer of 1990 when I realised the Soviet Union would fall. There were five of...
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COVID-19 is crippling economies and creating turmoil in financial markets. This note gives our outlook for coal generation in...
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COVID-19 continues to shake the global economy, and energy markets are no exception. Oil in particular finds itself caught...
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The piece originally was posted to the World Economic Forum website on March 18, 2020. The impact of China's previous...
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Fanning the Flames: How executives continue to be rewarded to produce more...
Oil Analyst Note March 2020Company executives pay practice doesn’t yet live up to climate ambition, with the gap between stated ambition and demonstrable...
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Coal developers risk wasting more than $600 billion because it is already cheaper to generate electricity from new renewables...
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The piece originally was posted to LGIM Future World Blog on February 26, 2020. It is reprinted with permission. By Nick...
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The Flip Side: Stranded Assets and Stranded Liabilities
Climate risk disclosure Analyst Note February 2020Carbon Tracker’s fundamental insight is that the oil and gas industry’s growth plans do not fit in a low carbon world. As...
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Amid ever-increasing concerns over climate risks, BP is the latest European oil and gas company to announce a climate goal with...
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According to Carbon Tracker analysis, Indonesia has 15 coal-fired plants (6.4 GW) aged 20 years and older. The decision to...
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Handbrake Turn: The cost of failing to anticipate an Inevitable Policy...
Oil Analyst Note January 2020In this report, we look at the Inevitable Policy Response (IPR), which models the potential impacts of delayed tough...
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The purpose of this note is to: Address RWE’s response to our recent report Apocoalypse Now, by acknowledging that, per...
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Coal power is losing its economic footing. As detailed in Figure 1, according to Carbon Tracker analysis, which is based on...
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SSE aligns with Carbon Tracker’s Paris-compliant methodology for coal...
Coal Flash Note December 2019In November, SSE confirmed that its remaining hard coal units at Fiddler’s Ferry power plant in the UK will close by 31...
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Iberdrola aligns with Carbon Tracker’s Paris-compliant methodology for...
Coal Flash Note December 2019Iberdrola announced at the opening of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP25) this week it will...
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Repsol has just announced a shift in strategic direction – to become a net zero emissions company by 2050. This move extends...
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Economist Ann Pettifor is one of several leading thinkers publishing books on the Green New Deal (GND) this year. However unlike...
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To deflate the carbon bubble and protect investors, oil & gas companies must shrink The world’s listed oil and gas majors...
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The energy complex has EU coal generators in a chokehold. Are policymakers and investors prepared for what comes next? In this...
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Carbon Tracker's mission is to align investors strategies to climate change action. We recognise that there is...
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The economic viability of new and existing coal in Japan could be severely undermined by cheap renewables and, without policy...
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Once upon a time – the 1990s if you are interested -- there was a wondrous oil company called Exxon. It was run by a clever...
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Submission to Treasury Committee on Green Finance & Decarbonisation...
Climate risk disclosure Blog September 2019Carbon Tracker's Mike Knight submitted evidence to the Treasury Select Committee inquiry into the decarbonisation of the UK...
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This report provides an update to our 2017 and 2018 "2 Degrees of Separation" reports, along with an updated methodology. The...
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Gradual or Rapid Energy Transition: What path are we on? The energy industry is complex, and understanding the major trends...
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The Amazon is burning, Greenland is melting, the US is rolling back environmental protections, and the energy sector consensus is...
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Falling renewable costs and intermittency solutions drive a tipping point for the Inevitable Policy Response The Inevitable...
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At Carbon Tracker - our research focus is the impact of climate change on financial markets. Our global coal report, Powering...
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Last week Carbon Tracker’s power & utilities team was in Manila to attend the launch of a UK government-funded project to...
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During the inaugural London Climate Action Week - Carbon Tracker co-hosted the Climate Risk and the Capital Domino Effect event...
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Climate Action 100+ power utility profiles for mainstream investors to align with Paris and manage energy transition...
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Recently Carbon Tracker’s power and utilities team travelled to Vietnam to market our latest analyst note, Here Comes the Sun...
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14 June | The Vatican Mary Robinson served as president of Ireland from 1990 to 1997, and as UN High Commissioner for Human...
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The following piece originally was posted to Oilprice.com on March 3, 2019. It is reprinted with permission. Investors are...
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Vietnam’s low-cost renewables revolution and its implications for coal power investments Key findings: ...
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The UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) has reported on its recommended targets for the UK to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions...
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Reporting for a Secure Climate: A model disclosure for upstream oil and gas
Climate risk disclosure Report May 2019There is growing attention on the potential impacts of climate-related risks on the upstream oil and gas sector A 2019 report by...
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The argument is often made that oil reserves have high natural decline rates which necessitate the continuous investment in and...
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ConocoPhillips: Concerned on Capex, Cagey on the Dwindling Carbon Budget
Climate risk disclosure Blog March 2019ConocoPhillips’ February 2019 climate report lays out a thoughtful approach to governing climate risk. It addresses...
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Why shareholders should rethink executive reward For much of the early part of this century, the oil and gas industry was in...
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The missing link – bridging the gap between emission targets and fossil...
Climate risk disclosure Blog February 2019To manage against the goals of the Paris Agreement, oil companies like Chevron must factor scope 3 emissions into their capital...
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BP and Glencore announce plans to link fossil fuel investments to Paris Agreement goals 2019 is shaping up to be the year in...
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In this study we review the remuneration practice used in the oil and gas industry and look at alignment with either growth or...
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By Anthony Hobley Attending Davos for the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting is like being thrown into the centre of...
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The political tipping point: Why the politics of energy will follow the...
Energy transition Analyst Note January 2019The political tipping point is coming. The falling costs of renewables are driving a political tipping point where politicians...
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Our New Energy Strategist co-authored this report for the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) Fundamental changes...
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Why carbon intensity ambitions are welcome, but strict limits on future project sanction remain the route to Paris...
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What can the global oil and gas sector learn from the decline of the European electricity sector after 2007? The story of the...
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Arriving into Katowice Poland, host city for COP24, you were immediately struck by the obvious conflict at the heart of the UN...
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Myths of the Energy Transition – Don’t Let Stranded Economic Thinking...
Energy transition Blog December 2018In the 2014 film Merchants of Doubt a small group of well funded lobbyists cast doubts over the science linking tobacco to lung...
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Myths of the transition: Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition
Energy transition Analyst Note December 2018Myth 3. Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition This is the third of the Energy Transition Myth Busters series,...
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This interactive portal and accompanying report track the economic and financial risks of coal power at the asset-level...
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Adding a Green Economy to a Brown Economy Does Not Equal Success.
Energy transition Blog November 2018Our Take on OECD Green Finance 2018 Over 2 days in Paris, 13-14 November business leaders, Government policy makers, NGOs and...
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This blog originally appeared on the IEEFA website By Tom Sanzillo, Kathy Hipple and Clark Williams-Derry Invest in the...
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Myths of the transition: The intermittency of renewables prevents an...
Energy transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 2. The intermittency of renewables will prevent the transition This is the second of the Energy Transition Myth Busters...
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Myths of the transition: Renewables are too small to matter
Energy transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 1. Renewable energy sources are too small to impact the giant fossil fuel sector. This is the first of a series on the...
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Economic and financial risks of coal power in Indonesia, Vietnam and the...
Coal Report October 2018Examining the stranded asset risk of coal plants in Indonesia, Vietnam and The Philippines These three country briefings...
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By Paul Spedding BP chief executive Bob Dudley is at risk of being branded an altruist if his “Oil and Money” speech to...
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Nowhere to hide: Using satellite imagery to estimate the utilisation of...
Power Report October 2018In this report, we present the results from a revolutionary method pioneered by Carbon Tracker to use satellite imagery to...
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Carbon capture and storage, or CCS, refers to technologies that allow us to capture CO2 at the source of its production and...
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The peak in fossil fuel demand will have a dramatic impact on financial markets in the 2020s. The global energy system is...
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One of the questions we are most frequently asked by investors is – how can we tell if a company is “Paris compliant”? This...
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The asset economics and financial implications of Energa’s and Enea’s proposed new Ostrołęka coal power plant C In this...
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Mobilising IOSCO to take action on the TCFD recommendations
Climate risk disclosure Report August 2018This report was produced by Client Earth, WWF and Carbon Tracker The International Organization of Securities Commissions...
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Market counts down to the MSR The EU carbon market has been the hottest commodity market in the world over the last 16...
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In the nexus of climate change and financial markets, disclosure is the flavour of the day. Carbon Tracker recently analysed...
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Guest Blog from Greg Rogers, Co-founder, Eratosthenes LLC In a classic scene from the 1976 American comedy, The Gumball Rally,...
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This report updates our 2 Degrees of Separation report, published in June 2017 2 Degrees of Separation laid out a framework...
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EV Oil Demand Displacement Interactive Tool This report and accompanying interactive tool look exclusively at...
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Dispatch dogfight: will the EU ETS put gas in the money in 2018?
Carbon Markets Analyst Note June 2018Since the start of the year, EU carbon has doubled in value, raising the possibility of coal to gas switching in power...
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Under The Microscope: Are companies’ scenario analyses meeting...
Climate risk disclosure Report May 2018This paper provides in-depth analysis of the company disclosure of the largest oil and gas companies: BP, Chevron, Conoco...
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One year ago we posted here comes the sun – a blog which found the lowest solar bid of 2017 could be less than the cash cost of...
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Several financial institutions have recently announced they will stop funding new coal power projects, with HSBC being the...
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Closing the Gap to a Paris-compliant EU-ETS Carbon pricing, whether via cap-and-trade schemes or taxes, is not sufficient on...
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Well Cooked? EOG Resources drops resolution on GHG emissions
Climate risk disclosure Blog April 2018An SEC decision allowed EOG Resources to exclude a shareholder resolution on GHG emissions A recent SEC decision allowing EOG...
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Falling Short – An assessment of ExxonMobil’s disclosure of...
Climate risk disclosure Report March 2018This is the first in a series of reports on company scenario analyses, focusing on ExxonMobil This paper seeks to assist...
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Trial and Error: Occidental’s first stab at climate-related risks
Climate risk disclosure Blog March 2018Summary Occidental neglects demand fundamentals in its 2°C analysis and opts for the foregone conclusion of a test against...
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This study updates our report 2 Degrees of Separation, and for the first time quantifies risk of overinvestment under a 1.75ᵒC...
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Chevron’s recent climate change disclosures become the first to reach down to the asset level, but remain light on useful...
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Summary The operating costs of coal units are complex and depend on many variables. Coal units are complex, long-life...
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ExxonMobil's Energy and Carbon Summary is a step in the right direction, but lacks clarity across a number of...
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A PDF version of this paper is available here. An updated version of this note is available now in Carbon Budgets: Where are...
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Our analysts Matt Gray and Laurence Watson respond to PPL's recent Climate Assessment Report. Summary Following a...
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Facts still matter: FERC saves US energy consumer $1.4b pa by rejecting...
Coal Analyst Note January 2018Summary The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announced on 8 January that it would reject the Notice of Proposed...
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Summary: Xcel Energy’s 2017 Colorado filing shows the median bid price for wind plus storage was $21/MWh and for solar...
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Submission to BEIS on Streamlined Energy and Carbon Reporting proposal
Climate risk disclosure Report January 2018Carbon Tracker's submission to the consultation phase of the Department of Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy's...
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Comments on the Environmental Audit Committee’s Green Finance inquiry
Climate risk disclosure Report December 2017Carbon Tracker Initiative comments on the Environmental Audit Committee’s Green Finance inquiry We welcome the opportunity...
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Comments on SASB’s Proposed Changes to Provisional Standards
Climate risk disclosure Report December 2017Carbon Tracker's comments on the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board proposed changes to provisional standards. We...
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If you read just one thing this year…… first, it’s December! What took you so long?......second, make it this. Much...
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Headlines Growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in scenarios developed by some oil majors is ten years behind the level expected...
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In this report, we look at how a scenario for the EU28 that is compliant with limiting the rise in global warming to below 2°C...
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A Time Machine for Climate Risk: bringing the future forward with 2˚C...
Climate risk disclosure Blog November 2017See here for a downloadable version of this blog. “Breaking the Tragedy of the Horizon” It has been two years since the...
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What does a 2°C scenario mean for future refining capacity? In this paper, we look at how a scenario for oil demand that is...
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Perry’s proposal to reregulate US power markets – $1.4b pa subsidy...
Coal Analyst Note October 2017The Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR) announced on September 29 will grant coal and nuclear units operating in organised...
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State of the transition: The roulette wheels of Las Vegas land on green
Energy transition Blog September 2017What have Las Vegas casinos got in common with tackling climate change and transitioning to a low carbon economy? More than you...
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Coal’s market share in the US power mix is being diminished at an unprecedented rate due to fierce competition from cheap gas...
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Explore the report webpage: 2degreeseparation.com This report, produced by Carbon Tracker, Principles for Responsible...
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Does the oil major’s 2017 Energy Perspectives mark new thinking for the company? On June 8th, Statoil published the 2017...
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Industry opposes enhanced climate risk disclosure, concerned it will move...
Climate risk disclosure Blog May 2017Robert Shuwerk responds to industry opposition to the TCFD recommendations. The Financial Stability Board’s task force on...
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Glencore released a report last week ahead of its Annual General Meeting aimed at assessing the long-term implications of climate...
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Cost reductions of India’s solar revolution should serve as a warning to coal investors This week solar PV prices in India...
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Former UN climate change chief Christiana Figueres brings new urgency to the global climate conversation with a campaign to...
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Unexpectedly, the oil and gas love-in that is CERAWeek saw the latest round of climate risk disclosure emerging from the oil...
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Carbon Tracker’s submission to the FSB Task Force on Climate-related...
Climate risk disclosure Report February 2017In response to an enquiry from the G20, the Financial Stability Board produced a seminal report investigating the implications of...
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Expect the Unexpected: The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology
Energy transition Report February 2017This report was produced in partnership between Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. The...
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Alpha Natural Resources, Peabody Energy Corp., and Arch Coal, Inc.—three of the four largest U.S. coal companies by annual...
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Financial Stability Board talks of climate change in a language investors...
Climate risk disclosure Blog January 2017Carbon Tracker's Rob Schuwerk explains why the FSB's climate risk recommendations are an important step towards helping financial...
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The 12 Days of Carbon Tracker Well…that was different. 2016 has been quite the year of change. A year of political events that...
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State of The Transition, November 2016: Steps forward continue to...
Energy transition Guest Blog December 2016Guest post by Jeremy Leggett, Non-executive chairman of Carbon Tracker The global energy transition remains in...
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China is currently building more coal plants than it needs and in doing so is misallocating capital at an unprecedented...
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Latest IEA Outlook outlines an accelerated low-carbon transition
Energy transition Blog November 2016WEO 2016 also warns of disjointed scenario if energy transition is delayed. Scenarios are not forecasts The scenarios produced...
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Guest post by Kingsmill Bond, new energy analyst at Trusted Sources (research & consultancy) The orthodox view is that...
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Even if oil prices rise in the aftermath of the OPEC agreement on cutting production, the oil industry should be wary of...
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Carbon Tracker’s work on the energy transition has already demonstrated the value in challenging traditional energy model...
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Submission to SEC on Property Disclosures for Mining Registrants
Climate risk disclosure Report September 2016In response to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Release No. 33-10098, "Modernization of Property Disclosures for...
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Carbon Tracker’s submission to the US Securities and Exchange...
Climate risk disclosure Report July 2016In response to the SEC's Concept Release on Business and Financial Disclosure, Carbon Tracker submitted comments, identifying...
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Why a 2°C business model is less risky than 'business-as-usual' for oil companies. The business model for many companies in the...
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In January 2016 the US Secretary of the Interior announced a moratorium on new coal leasing on public lands pending completion of...
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No Rhyme or Reason – Unreasonable projections in a world confronting...
Climate risk disclosure Report July 2016In the US, carbon-intensive sectors have made risk factor disclosures related to climate change for years but very little of it...
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Carbon Tracker’s reports and blogs are available in seven different languages: Arabic...
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U.S. and European oil and gas companies are under increasing pressure from shareholders to stress test their businesses against a...
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In April 2016, the Financial Stability Board’s Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures published a report on Phase...
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Oil majors could be worth up to $140 billion more by aligning production with climate targets
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Carbon Tracker’s submission to UK Department of BIS consultation:...
Climate risk disclosure Report April 2016In 2013, the European Commission adopted proposals for a Directive amending the Accounting Directive in relation to the reporting...
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A series of recent Forbes articles intend to cast doubt on the relevance of stranded asset risks to investors. Mark Fulton,...
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The flaws in the business models of some of the largest US shale producers are becoming clear. Growing levels of debt are...
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In 2016, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has a major opportunity to develop a new industry, an opportunity that became something of...
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Carbon Tracker’s submission to the Parliament of Australia’s Senate...
Climate risk disclosure Report March 2016In February 2016, we were invited to contribute to the Australian Senate Economics References Committee’s inquiry into carbon...
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The recent shift in China’s economy has been one of dramatic speed and scale. The first decade of the 2000s saw China’s...
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By Paul Spedding, Former Global Co-Head of Oil And Gas Research at HSBC and Advisor to Carbon Tracker. First appeared on...
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Full Disclosure: Why Chevron Needs to Stress-Test the Business at...
Climate risk disclosure Report March 2016This paper examines Chevron’s current disclosures in the context of Carbon Tracker’s April 2015 Blueprint, where we...
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Carbon Tracker & Sandbag written evidence on EAC Inquiry on...
Climate risk disclosure Report February 2016UK Environmental Audit Committee inquiry: Sustainability and HM Treasury The cross-departmental Environmental Audit Committee...
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Just because one of Britain's best loved vehicles rolled off the production line for the last time last week doesn't...
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Considerations for reporting and disclosure in a carbon-constrained world
Climate risk disclosure Report January 2016Hot on the heels of a historic climate deal in Paris the Carbon Tracker Initiative and the Climate Disclosure Standards Board,...
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Shelagh Whitley and Mark Fulton President Obama’s rejection of the Keystone XL pipeline last November signalled a landmark...
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Stranded Assets a Response: Myth or Reality? Late last year respected British economist Dieter Helm dismissed the concept of...
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Recommended Strategic Risk Engagement Principles for Fossil Fuel Companies
Climate risk disclosure Report December 2015In 2011, Carbon Tracker asked whether the world’s capital markets were carrying a “carbon bubble”. Further analysis...
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The data is clear – the energy transition is underway, and the direction of travel is away from fossil fuels. But not everyone...
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Carbon Tracker’s submission to HM Treasury consultation on energy...
Climate risk disclosure Report November 2015In late 2015, the U.K.’s economic and finance ministry sought public responses to a consultation concentrated on simplifying...
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Lost in Transition: How the energy sector is missing potential demand...
Energy transition Report October 2015This report is designed to challenge the conventional thinking and linear models which dominate the current scenarios for energy...
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This paper, first presented at the 1st Global Stranded Assets Conference, hosted by the Smith School in Oxford September 2015,...
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Is Royal Dutch Shell, one of the world’s biggest oil and gas companies, really turning its back on fossil fuels? Not only has...
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There has been much discussion of fossil fuel subsidies as both an inefficient use of public tax dollars and a barrier to the...
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“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.” Mahatma Gandhi I recently attended a...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen Global coal is on the ropes. Prices of thermal coal have collapsed as demand evaporates;...
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This guest post by Paul Gilding, an independent writer, corporate advisor and advocate for action on climate change and...
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Low carbon scenarios do include the potential for gas demand to grow over the next decade. But if we are to stay within a carbon...
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Fossil Fuel companies failing legal duty to report climate risk
Climate risk disclosure Report June 2015Some fossil fuel companies are failing in their legal duty to address climate risk in their reporting, a group of non-profit...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen Will the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 21) in Paris later this year be a...
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Petrobras’ recent launch of a notional $2.5 billion worth of 100-year bonds has been viewed as evidence that investors,...
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In this report we analyse the EU’s largest 5 power generators: Électricité de France (EDF), GDF Suez, Enel, E.ON and RWE, who...
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The Carbon Tracker Initiative’s Submission to the Capital Markets Union...
Climate risk disclosure Report May 2015Carbon Tracker recently submitted comments to the European Commission's ongoing capital markets union (CMU)...
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Rising greenhouse gas emissions are often talked about as a one-time, irreversible natural experiment with the climate...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen Through our pioneering “Carbon Bubble” work we used a simple idea and easy numbers to...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen As the world’s top financiers gather in Paris ahead of International Climate Finance Day on...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen Ahead of the Paris climate talks the burning question for policy makers and investors is how...
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US shale production has prompted increased volatility in the oil markets, as exemplified by the 50% drop in prices during the...
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Carbon Tracker is developing a transition road map for the fossil fuel industry. This will outline the steps we believe that the...
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The steep fall in the price of oil since the middle of last year has brought volatility back to the market with a vengeance,...
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The market for thermal coal is in structural decline in the United States. Squeezed out by an abundance of cheap shale gas and...
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The 2015 Oil Spending Review is in Full Swing With oil prices collapsing to between $50/$60 a barrel (at the...
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Over the past 18 months the Carbon Tracker Initiative has written a number of studies on the economics of the controversial...
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In a letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as part of its ongoing review of disclosure, the Carbon Tracker...
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During 2014, following in the footsteps of Shell and ExxonMobil, oil and gas industry association IPIECA published a “fact...
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Carbon Tracker Initiative's Anthony Hobley argues that far from being a disaster for clean tech, low oil prices could aid...
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Carbon Tracker comment on US-China climate change agreement “For Carbon Tracker, today’s announcement of the “joint...
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This Carbon Tracker report shows how rural communities in Africa and India suffering most from a lack of modern energy can...
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Carbon Tracker’s ultimate vision is a climate-secure energy and financial system. This does not mean fossil fuels being...
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Recognising Risk, Perpetuating Uncertainty. A baseline survey of climate...
Climate risk disclosure Report October 2014In partnership with Ceres, CDP and CDSB, Carbon Tracker has assessed the responses from over 80 fossil fuel companies to a...
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Our research on coal consists of a package of detailed analyses of coal supply, demand and financial trends. The accompanying...
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Shell underestimates risk for up to $77 bln of high cost oil projects The Carbon Tracker Initiative (CTI) and Energy...
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This latest piece of research from Standard & Poors’ coal analysts in collaboration with CTI explores for the first time...
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Since the turn of the century, China has almost single-handedly been driving global thermal coal consumption growth. Changes in...
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This report is a risk analysis which provides a tool for the majority of investors who cannot simply divest, so they can...
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Exxon: Is business as normal the right strategy? Earlier this month, ExxonMobil published a document entitled, “Energy and...
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Carbon Tracker respond to the US Department of State's Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (FSEIS) with our new...
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Carbon content is a key financial element of fossil fuel reserves. In December 2013, Carbon Tracker submitted a letter to the...
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Following on from Carbon Tracker’s Unburnable Carbon 2013 global analysis, we release this report in collaboration with The...
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Carbon Avoidance: Accounting for emissions hidden in reserves
Climate risk disclosure Report October 2013This new research from Carbon Tracker and the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants reveals that current financial...
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The fourth in the series of Carbon Tracker's Unburnable Carbon reports, focuses on Brazil - a country with the fascinating...
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This new research from Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at LSE calls...
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Carbon Tracker and Standard & Poors have been working together on the implications of carbon constraints for credit ratings...
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This new analysis from the Carbon Tracker Initiative finds that the current coal reserves earmarked for the South African market,...
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This is the original report which pioneered the concept of the 'Carbon Bubble'. This award-winning analysis by Carbon...
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