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We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will impact the future of fossil fuel-exposed companies and projects. This analysis helps the investment community better understand the financial implications of tackling climate change
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Curb Your Enthusiasm: Bridging the gap between the...
Heavy Duty Vehicles Decarbonisation: Hard-to-Abate?
A clear example of how the energy transition is changing quickly due to strides in cheap and scalable electrification is in the area of...Business as usual in oil and gas is a high risk strategy for us all
Oil and gas industry resistance to transition is a major investment risk for the industry and its stakeholders - as new technologies...Misaligned and Timed Out
The fossil fuel industry is having a bad energy transition: It is misaligned with stakeholders, climate targets and is under-investing...Are We Ready for Trump Mark II?
After his recent primary wins Donald Trump is assured to be the Republican Party’s nominee for President. Polling shows he could beat...Energy is a very long game: yet fossil fuel companies are taking a lot of short-term risks
Oil and gas incumbents are doubling down on investment and their financial backers are exiting governance bodies: this raises the risks to...Decarbonising Gas Networks (Part 1): Snam
Snam Carbon Tracker has produced a set of three separate related reports on Snam, Italgas and Enagas, the European gas network listed...Popular Reads
Curb Your Enthusiasm: Bridging the gap between the UK’s CCUS targets and reality
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
Read MoreLoading the DICE Against Pensions
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
Read MoreItalgas Carbon Tracker has produced a set of three separate related reports on Snam, Italgas and Enagas, the European gas...
Read MoreEnagas Carbon Tracker has produced a set of three separate related reports on Snam, Italgas and Enagas, the European gas network...
Read More2024: Misreading and mistiming the energy transition – Carbon moves from...
Energy Transition Blog January 20242024 is the Chinese year of the Dragon, the only mythical beast in the Chinese zodiac: and a year typically associated with fresh...
Read MoreNavigating Peak Demand: the oil and gas industry enters its post-imperial age Most things may never happen: this one...
Read MoreFrom Net Zero to New Zero – Reserves Estimates in a Decarbonizing...
Accounting, Audit, & Disclosure Report December 2023Oil and gas reserve classification systems today are focused on the value oil and gas has when burnt. Devised in the first part...
Read MoreHow many new emissions did oil and gas exploration add last year? Nobody...
Energy Transition Blog December 2023If you are reading this, you know that at a time when the world is burning, and Net Zero seems like a distant dream, oil and gas...
Read MoreStrategies for oil and gas companies to respond to the substitution challenge of the energy transition There can be no...
Read MoreEnergy transition update: now cheaper to save the world than destroy it
Energy Transition Blog October 2023“It's now cheaper to save the world than destroy it.” Akshat Rathi, Climate Capitalism “It ought to be remembered...
Read MoreIberdrola is Europe’s largest and the world’s second largest utility by market cap. It has more than 50GW of generation...
Read MoreOil and Gas company narratives about the future of fossil fuels remain positive, their bank accounts are full. But their...
Read MoreSteppes to Net Zero This report focuses on Kazakhstan’s energy transition pathway and provides a perspective that strikes a...
Read MoreTo paraphrase the Charles Dickens classic, A Tale of Two Cities: in 2023 in terms of energy, we are in the best of times, and in...
Read MoreFind a round up of Carbon Tracker's research and outreach activity in 2022. In 2022 we saw global shocks catalysed by Russia’s...
Read MorePension funds are risking the retirement savings of millions of people by relying on economic research that ignores critical...
Read MoreThe energy transition is already here – and becoming widely distributed
Energy Transition Blog June 2023William Gibson is often quoted with the line “The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed.” It...
Read MoreTalking the talk but not walking the walk – The absence of net zero...
Flash Notes Flash Note May 2023Companies around the world are setting net zero by 2050 targets. Despite that, our analysis shows that of 134 carbon-intensive...
Read MoreNet Zero has become an energy transition delay tactic, driven by incumbents, but it is unlikely to work - as we detail in this...
Read MoreIn this edition of our Transition Files Journal, we celebrate our coverage of US Power and Utilities corporates with a rigorous...
Read MoreMajor oil and gas companies still have choices about how to minimise the risk of having stranded assets, for now. Early in...
Read MoreSHELL – Will Shell’s Energy Transition Strategy Change Under Its...
Corporate Research (Oil & Gas) Report March 2023Key Findings: Shell has made a significant effort to improve the amount, depth and frequency of information in its approach...
Read MoreTransition Plan Analysis (TPA) Level 1 Despite differing views on climate change, it cannot escape anyone’s attention that...
Read MoreEnergy Transition’s clean technologies are empowering an industrial...
Energy Transition Blog February 2023There must have been a time in the 1920s some 20 years after the introduction of the Model T Ford in the United States, and with...
Read MoreDownload Infographic Here The energy transition may well be determined by the phenomenon of S-curves. This is because the future...
Read MoreDecarbonising CCGT, grids & Scope 3 Emissions Engie needs to consider retiring merchant CCGT capacity. Its plans to...
Read MoreTransition Plan Analysis: For Naturgy to be fully aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement, five things need to...
Read MoreTransition Plan Analysis: Engie’s plans to reduce carbon intensity for scope 1 and 3 emissions from generation are not...
Read MoreFor Centrica to be aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement, four things need to happen: The company needs to...
Read MoreOn Track for Paris? IEA lays out required pace of energy transition to...
Energy Transition Flash Note January 2023Viewed as an established authority on the latest energy trends, the annual World Energy Outlook (WEO) informs both investment and...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker Research in an Energy Transition Context: October through November 2022 COP27 Special Report: African...
Read MoreThe war in Ukraine is a further example of the inherent fragility of the world fossil fuel system. It is accelerating the energy...
Read MoreThe Transition Files: periodic thoughts and views on companies, industries...
Autos Journal October 2022The Transition Files In Volume 1, this journal comprises: an article on SHELL, another on Discounted Cash Flows, and one on...
Read MoreFor many decades fossil hydrogen has been an integral part of our energy society. From being an essential component for powering...
Read MoreFossil fuel commodity prices are likely to remain volatile with the prospect for further embargos. This is a manifestation of non...
Read MoreOut of the frying pan and into the fire: the heat is building on climate...
Energy Transition Blog February 2022As temperatures accelerate towards 1.5˚C, near-term actions that limit global warming would reduce losses and damages related to...
Read MoreWhy Jordan Peterson Should Think Again on the Energy Transition
Energy Transition Blog February 2022On a recent episode of Joe Rogan’s controversial and highly influential podcast, Canadian psychology professor and best-selling...
Read MoreOpinion: Liberalisation and decarbonisation are a recipe for volatility
Energy Transition Guest Blog February 2022Market-based pricing for gas saved EU consumers billions – until this winter's energy crunch came along. Europe’s exposure to...
Read MoreTackling the Methane problem: why investors should drive change at...
Energy Transition Blog January 2022To keep 1.5°C alive, immediate action on methane emissions is required from the oil and gas industry, with significant impact...
Read MoreThere is a paradox at the heart of expertise: those who have accumulated the most authority in an industry are often those least...
Read MoreThe world has changed a lot since Paris; so too should the logic of climate mitigation. Mitigating climate change is no longer...
Read MoreOn Monday 9th August, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) delivered a climate report warning of ‘code red for...
Read MoreSpiralling Disruption: The feedback loops of the energy transition
Energy Transition Analyst Note August 2021The fossil energy system is falling over the edge of the demand cliff. 2019 was likely peak fossil fuel demand and this marks...
Read MoreFossil fuel electricity generation has peaked worldwide as emerging market countries seize the opportunities of low-cost...
Read MoreThe IEA’s latest piece on minerals[1] critical to the energy transition gives a rather pessimistic spin to what was some very...
Read MoreThe Sky’s the Limit: Solar and wind energy potential is 100 times as...
Energy Transition Report April 2021Solar and wind potential is far higher than that of fossil fuels and can meet global energy demand many times over, unlocking...
Read MoreCan a virus and viral ideas speed the world’s journey beyond fossil...
Analyst Notes Analyst Note February 2021Smart investments and viral ideas in pandemic recovery and contagious new tools for deeper, cheaper energy efficiency could speed...
Read MoreKingsmill Bond on BBC News talking Joe Biden’s Presidency & the...
Energy Transition Blog January 2021Carbon Tracker's New Energy Strategist Kingsmill Bond argues the election of Joe Biden on a ticket to restore America's climate...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker's Christmas Cracker had a makeover in 2020. This infographic originally went out in our December newsletter,...
Read MoreNothing to lose but your chains: The emerging market transport leapfrog
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2020Falling battery prices and the decarbonisation of transport systems in emerging markets will reduce dependency on oil imports and...
Read MoreGuest post by Carbon Tracker advisory board member Nick Robins - reposted with permission from the author If there is one...
Read MoreThe exit of Trump removes the greatest impediment to the energy transition, and will unleash a great era of creativity and...
Read MoreExplorers use maps intensively, but they take the information recorded in the charts they use with a few grains of salt, knowing...
Read MoreA key tipping point was reached in 2019. Global demand for fossil fuels peaked and is unlikely ever to recover to its pre-crisis...
Read MoreOne of the world’s leading energy forecasters released a report this morning arguing that 2019 was the peak of the fossil fuel...
Read MoreThe Future’s Not in Plastics: Why plastics demand won’t rescue the oil...
Energy Transition Analyst Note September 2020The oil and petrochemical industries are betting their future growth prospects on demand for plastics. But plastics demand is...
Read MoreClick here to view Carbon Tracker's Annual Review 2019 In 2019 our objective was to accelerate the energy transition by...
Read MoreThe Earth's temperatures continue to rise causing catastrophic climate change. The risks of climate change are having major...
Read MoreDecline and Fall: The Size & Vulnerability of the Fossil Fuel System
Energy Transition Report June 2020The energy transition is disrupting the entire fossil fuel system, with profound consequences for financial markets and...
Read MoreThe COVID-19 pandemic shut economies, disrupted established global production chains and pressed an indefinite pause on the...
Read MoreThe IEA on Thursday[1] released some eye-watering projections for energy demand declines in 2020 in the light of the Covid19...
Read MoreThe 2019 report on the Speed of the Energy Transition by the World Economic Forum Global Future Council on Energy described two...
Read MoreAt this time of crisis, the immediate issue is to solve the health and economic emergencies, and we salute the heroes of the...
Read MoreI was sitting in a hot tub in Leningrad in the summer of 1990 when I realised the Soviet Union would fall. There were five of...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker's mission is to align investors strategies to climate change action. We recognise that there is...
Read MoreGradual or Rapid Energy Transition: What path are we on? The energy industry is complex, and understanding the major trends...
Read MoreThe Amazon is burning, Greenland is melting, the US is rolling back environmental protections, and the energy sector consensus is...
Read MoreFalling renewable costs and intermittency solutions drive a tipping point for the Inevitable Policy Response The Inevitable...
Read MoreDuring the inaugural London Climate Action Week - Carbon Tracker co-hosted the Climate Risk and the Capital Domino Effect event...
Read MoreThe argument is often made that oil reserves have high natural decline rates which necessitate the continuous investment in and...
Read MoreBy Anthony Hobley Attending Davos for the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting is like being thrown into the centre of...
Read MoreThe political tipping point: Why the politics of energy will follow the...
Energy Transition Analyst Note January 2019The political tipping point is coming. The falling costs of renewables are driving a political tipping point where politicians...
Read MoreOur New Energy Strategist co-authored this report for the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) Fundamental changes...
Read MoreWhat can the global oil and gas sector learn from the decline of the European electricity sector after 2007? The story of the...
Read MoreMyths of the Energy Transition – Don’t Let Stranded Economic Thinking...
Energy Transition Blog December 2018In the 2014 film Merchants of Doubt a small group of well funded lobbyists cast doubts over the science linking tobacco to lung...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition
Energy Transition Analyst Note December 2018Myth 3. Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition This is the third of the Energy Transition Myth Busters series,...
Read MoreAdding a Green Economy to a Brown Economy Does Not Equal Success.
Energy Transition Blog November 2018Our Take on OECD Green Finance 2018 Over 2 days in Paris, 13-14 November business leaders, Government policy makers, NGOs and...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: The intermittency of renewables prevents an...
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 2. The intermittency of renewables will prevent the transition This is the second of the Energy Transition Myth Busters...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: Renewables are too small to matter
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 1. Renewable energy sources are too small to impact the giant fossil fuel sector. This is the first of a series on the...
Read MoreThe peak in fossil fuel demand will have a dramatic impact on financial markets in the 2020s. The global energy system is...
Read MoreThis study updates our report 2 Degrees of Separation, and for the first time quantifies risk of overinvestment under a 1.75ᵒC...
Read MoreIf you read just one thing this year…… first, it’s December! What took you so long?......second, make it this. Much...
Read MoreState of the transition: The roulette wheels of Las Vegas land on green
Energy Transition Blog September 2017What have Las Vegas casinos got in common with tackling climate change and transitioning to a low carbon economy? More than you...
Read MoreDoes the oil major’s 2017 Energy Perspectives mark new thinking for the company? On June 8th, Statoil published the 2017...
Read MoreGlencore released a report last week ahead of its Annual General Meeting aimed at assessing the long-term implications of climate...
Read MoreFormer UN climate change chief Christiana Figueres brings new urgency to the global climate conversation with a campaign to...
Read MoreExpect the Unexpected: The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology
Energy Transition Report February 2017This report was produced in partnership between Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. The...
Read MoreState of The Transition, November 2016: Steps forward continue to...
Energy Transition Guest Blog December 2016Guest post by Jeremy Leggett, Non-executive chairman of Carbon Tracker The global energy transition remains in...
Read MoreLatest IEA Outlook outlines an accelerated low-carbon transition
Energy Transition Blog November 2016WEO 2016 also warns of disjointed scenario if energy transition is delayed. Scenarios are not forecasts The scenarios produced...
Read MoreGuest post by Kingsmill Bond, new energy analyst at Trusted Sources (research & consultancy) The orthodox view is that...
Read MoreIn 2016, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has a major opportunity to develop a new industry, an opportunity that became something of...
Read MoreJust because one of Britain's best loved vehicles rolled off the production line for the last time last week doesn't...
Read MoreLost in Transition: How the energy sector is missing potential demand...
Energy Transition Report October 2015This report is designed to challenge the conventional thinking and linear models which dominate the current scenarios for energy...
Read MoreThis paper, first presented at the 1st Global Stranded Assets Conference, hosted by the Smith School in Oxford September 2015,...
Read More“First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.” Mahatma Gandhi I recently attended a...
Read MoreThis guest post by Paul Gilding, an independent writer, corporate advisor and advocate for action on climate change and...
Read MoreFirst appeared in BusinessGreen Will the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 21) in Paris later this year be a...
Read MoreRising greenhouse gas emissions are often talked about as a one-time, irreversible natural experiment with the climate...
Read MoreFirst appeared in BusinessGreen Through our pioneering “Carbon Bubble” work we used a simple idea and easy numbers to...
Read MoreFirst appeared in BusinessGreen Ahead of the Paris climate talks the burning question for policy makers and investors is how...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker is developing a transition road map for the fossil fuel industry. This will outline the steps we believe that the...
Read MoreThis Carbon Tracker report shows how rural communities in Africa and India suffering most from a lack of modern energy can...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker’s ultimate vision is a climate-secure energy and financial system. This does not mean fossil fuels being...
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