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We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will impact the future of fossil fuel-exposed companies and projects. This analysis helps the investment community better understand the financial implications of tackling climate change
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Gone with the wind?
Oil and Gas Transition Plans User Guide
Enel SpA – All change?
Backfire: Why Colorado’s bonding reform is not...
Methane Emissions from Oil and Gas Majors: Reconciling Different Estimates
There has been great interest in recent years in reducing methane emissions as part of efforts to limit climate change. Public and private...Little Big Horn: How a bonding proposal can fall short
Nearly 70 years after the last update and more than 10 years after formal recognition of the inadequacy of federal onshore bonding...Carbon Tracker Submission to the IFRS Interpretations Committee
Carbon Tracker Initiative (Carbon Tracker) provided comments on the Tentative Agenda Decision: Climate-related Commitments (IAS 37) to the...PetroStates of Decline: oil and gas producers face growing fiscal risks as the energy transition unfolds
Transition risks for petrostates are higher than ever This report, an update of our 2021 Beyond Petrostates report, finds that...Absolute Impact 2023: Progress on oil and gas emissions targets has stalled
Carbon Tracker is pleased to launch the 4th edition of our Absolute Impact series, in which we assess and rank the climate goals of some of...Gone with the wind?
Investments in the electricity grid are not keeping up with the rapid growth of wind resulting in record losses of green electricity and...Popular Reads
Curb Your Enthusiasm: Bridging the gap between the UK’s CCUS targets and reality
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
Read MoreLoading the DICE Against Pensions
We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
Read MorePoorly performing Auto Loan ABS has the potential to put the brakes on bond holder returns and automaker cashflow In developed...
Read MoreMany leading asset managers’ investment practices deviate from climate positioning. As awareness of the climate crisis...
Read MoreTransition Plan Analysis In this note Will Grainger, our Senior North American Power and Utilities Analyst, outlines the key...
Read MoreIn September 2020, the People’s Republic of China announced targets of peaking economy-wide carbon emissions before 2030 and...
Read MoreRecent extreme price spikes for the GB power market have triggered key discussions over whether the time has come for a shift in...
Read MoreWith approximately 2.1 million abandoned wells across the U.S., there is growing concern about unfunded asset retirement...
Read MoreSlipped Gear: Automaker emissions goals unaligned to meet climate targets
Autos Analyst Note November 2022This report is an assessment of automotive company alignment to the Paris Agreement and their position relative to the automotive...
Read MoreCrude Intentions: How oil and gas executives are still rewarded to chase...
Oil & Gas Analyst Note November 2022The energy transition is fundamentally shifting the way oil and gas companies operate; as demand falls for fossil fuels,...
Read MoreAmidst an energy crisis and a power supply crunch, the Japanese power sector is today experiencing unprecedented stress owing to...
Read MoreCorporate Research: Uniper SE – Restructuring due but let’s not...
Corporate Research (Power & Utilities) Analyst Note September 2022Uniper SE Uniper’s transition to net zero is not aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Datteln4 is a major...
Read MoreRWE AG RWE’s transition to net zero is not fully aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Germany has yet to...
Read MoreCorporate Research: CEZ a.s – Restructuring due; urgent need for...
Corporate Research (Power & Utilities) Analyst Note September 2022CEZ a.s CEZ’s transition to net zero by 2040 is not fully aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. CEZ is...
Read MoreEU Coal: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly
Corporate Research (Power & Utilities) Analyst Note September 2022We are writing this report because retiring coal is the fastest route to decarbonisation and alignment with the goals of the...
Read MoreColorado’s new financial assurance rules will help mitigate orphan well risk, but the benefits are blunted by substantial...
Read MoreThe International Sustainability Standards Board’s Exposure Drafts “IFRS S1 General Requirements for Disclosure of...
Read MoreWhen oil companies defer saving for asset retirement obligations (AROs), the liabilities accumulate. Meanwhile production, and...
Read MoreCorporate Profile – CLP Holdings Limited
Corporate Research (Power & Utilities) Analyst Note July 2022CLP Holdings Limited (CLP) has a commitment to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. However, we do not think CLP’s net zero plan...
Read MoreCorporate Profile – Tenaga Nasional Berhad
Corporate Research (Power & Utilities) Analyst Note July 2022Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) aims to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 underpinned by a commitment to reduce 35% of its...
Read MoreAdani Power Limited (APL) has no commitment to achieve net zero emissions and no meaningful plans to manage the energy transition...
Read MoreOil and gas companies are still failing to commit to the absolute emissions reductions necessary to link their businesses to the...
Read MorePoland is approaching a key point in determining the future direction of its power system and the technologies that it wishes to...
Read MoreFirms can avoid wasting $500bn with managed approach to transition in Inevitable Policy Response scenario even if oil demand...
Read More$110 billion of coal plants owned by listed Asian utilities could become uneconomic as the world takes action to meet climate...
Read MoreSpiralling Disruption: The feedback loops of the energy transition
Energy Transition Analyst Note August 2021The fossil energy system is falling over the edge of the demand cliff. 2019 was likely peak fossil fuel demand and this marks...
Read MoreFinancial assurance requirements are universally considered to be too low to pay for plugging and abandoning wells. An inventory...
Read MoreLetter to the SEC on Climate Change Disclosures
Accounting, Audit, & Disclosure Analyst Note June 2021Recently, we submitted a letter in response to the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Public Input on Climate Change...
Read MoreOil and gas companies are increasingly announcing new climate goals as they seek to maintain a social licence to...
Read MoreA cost-optimized analysis for a renewables investment schedule for South Korea shows that a more ambitious rollout of renewable...
Read MoreThe value of share offerings in fossil fuel producing and related companies dropped by $123 billion in the last decade,...
Read MoreCan a virus and viral ideas speed the world’s journey beyond fossil...
Analyst Notes Analyst Note February 2021Smart investments and viral ideas in pandemic recovery and contagious new tools for deeper, cheaper energy efficiency could speed...
Read MoreGroundhog Pay: How executive incentives trap companies in a loop of fossil...
Oil & Gas Analyst Note December 2020The energy transition will require oil and gas companies to fundamentally change the way they do business. Groundhog Pay...
Read MoreNothing to lose but your chains: The emerging market transport leapfrog
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2020Falling battery prices and the decarbonisation of transport systems in emerging markets will reduce dependency on oil imports and...
Read MoreBetween 2014 and the end of 2019, ExxonMobil 's return to shareholders was negative 10%. In September 2014, Carbon Tracker...
Read MoreThe Future’s Not in Plastics: Why plastics demand won’t rescue the oil...
Energy Transition Analyst Note September 2020The oil and petrochemical industries are betting their future growth prospects on demand for plastics. But plastics demand is...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker's modelling shows no new oil sands are needed in a low carbon world. Prospective pipelines and projects represent...
Read MoreThere is growing recognition that drastic changes to oil and gas consumption are required to meet the finite limits of a global...
Read MoreThe Impair State: The Paris Agreement starts to impact oil & gas...
Oil & Gas Analyst Note June 2020The oil industry’s financial statements reflect climate change conflict Oil and gas companies have never been under more...
Read MoreFanning the Flames: How executives continue to be rewarded to produce more...
Analyst Note March 2020Company executives pay practice doesn’t yet live up to climate ambition, with the gap between stated ambition and demonstrable...
Read MoreCarbon Tracker’s fundamental insight is that the oil and gas industry’s growth plans do not fit in a low carbon world. As...
Read MoreIn this report, we look at the Inevitable Policy Response (IPR), which models the potential impacts of delayed tough...
Read MoreThe energy complex has EU coal generators in a chokehold. Are policymakers and investors prepared for what comes next? In this...
Read MoreFalling renewable costs and intermittency solutions drive a tipping point for the Inevitable Policy Response The Inevitable...
Read MoreClimate Action 100+ power utility profiles for mainstream investors to align with Paris and manage energy transition...
Read MoreThe argument is often made that oil reserves have high natural decline rates which necessitate the continuous investment in and...
Read MoreThe political tipping point: Why the politics of energy will follow the...
Energy Transition Analyst Note January 2019The political tipping point is coming. The falling costs of renewables are driving a political tipping point where politicians...
Read MoreWhy carbon intensity ambitions are welcome, but strict limits on future project sanction remain the route to Paris...
Read MoreWhat can the global oil and gas sector learn from the decline of the European electricity sector after 2007? The story of the...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition
Energy Transition Analyst Note December 2018Myth 3. Hard-to-abate sectors prevent an energy transition This is the third of the Energy Transition Myth Busters series,...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: The intermittency of renewables prevents an...
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 2. The intermittency of renewables will prevent the transition This is the second of the Energy Transition Myth Busters...
Read MoreMyths of the transition: Renewables are too small to matter
Energy Transition Analyst Note November 2018Myth 1. Renewable energy sources are too small to impact the giant fossil fuel sector. This is the first of a series on the...
Read MoreEV Oil Demand Displacement Interactive Tool This report and accompanying interactive tool look exclusively at...
Read MoreDispatch dogfight: will the EU ETS put gas in the money in 2018?
Carbon Markets Analyst Note June 2018Since the start of the year, EU carbon has doubled in value, raising the possibility of coal to gas switching in power...
Read MoreSummary The operating costs of coal units are complex and depend on many variables. Coal units are complex, long-life...
Read MoreOur analysts Matt Gray and Laurence Watson respond to PPL's recent Climate Assessment Report. Summary Following a...
Read MoreFacts still matter: FERC saves US energy consumer $1.4b pa by rejecting...
Coal Analyst Note January 2018Summary The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announced on 8 January that it would reject the Notice of Proposed...
Read MoreSummary: Xcel Energy’s 2017 Colorado filing shows the median bid price for wind plus storage was $21/MWh and for solar...
Read MoreHeadlines Growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in scenarios developed by some oil majors is ten years behind the level expected...
Read MorePerry’s proposal to reregulate US power markets – $1.4b pa subsidy...
Coal Analyst Note October 2017The Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR) announced on September 29 will grant coal and nuclear units operating in organised...
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