We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will impact the future of fossil fuel-exposed companies and projects. This analysis helps the investment community better understand the financial implications of tackling climate change
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We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
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We carry out scenario analysis and research to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and...
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This article was first published by Brink News, with thanks to Thomas Carver. The shift away from a carbon-based economy risks...
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Financial statements, like economic models, are only as good as the inputs to them. Inputs [1] underpin the information in...
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1.5°C-alignment requires production declines, but most oil & gas companies are planning to expand Oil and gas companies...
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The energy transition threatens companies involved in the downstream refining sector whose revenue is dependent on the continued...
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The energy transition is fundamentally shifting the way oil and gas companies operate; as demand falls for fossil fuels,...
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The Transition Files In Volume 1, this journal comprises: an article on SHELL, another on Discounted Cash Flows, and one on...
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Colorado’s new financial assurance rules will help mitigate orphan well risk, but the benefits are blunted by substantial...
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The UK’s energy security strategy is back at the forefront of political debate. As the government looks to show leadership...
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When oil companies defer saving for asset retirement obligations (AROs), the liabilities accumulate. Meanwhile production, and...
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But it might just save the world North American oil and gas companies are going big on carbon capture, utilisation, and...
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In June, Saudi Aramco published its first ever Sustainability Report, containing details of its "net zero by 2050” target and...
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Over $1 trillion of oil & gas assets risk becoming stranded as a result of policy action on climate and the rise in...
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Fossil fuel commodity prices are likely to remain volatile with the prospect for further embargos. This is a manifestation of non...
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The Gulf of Mexico has long been a major oil and gas producing region for the U.S., but field depletion in shallower regions near...
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Oil and gas companies are still failing to commit to the absolute emissions reductions necessary to link their businesses to the...
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With respect to asset retirement obligations in the oil patch, every regulator has to answer three questions: How do you...
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Late last month ExxonMobil launched its Advancing Climate Solutions – 2022 Progress Report,[1] which describes how it is...
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Firms can avoid wasting $500bn with managed approach to transition in Inevitable Policy Response scenario even if oil demand...
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Carbon Tracker recently announced that it was creating a Global Registry of Fossil Fuels, the “Registry,” which will be a...
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To keep 1.5°C alive, immediate action on methane emissions is required from the oil and gas industry, with significant impact...
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In January, the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (COGCC) will vote on the new financial assurance rules for Colorado,...
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Mergers and acquisition (M&A) activity is shaking up the Australian oil and gas sector. In two proposed all-share deals,...
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When a well is drilled, a legal obligation to plug the well and reclaim the surface is created This is a critical aspect of...
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Repsol has seemingly upped its emissions cutting game In early October, responding to shareholder pressure, Repsol announced a...
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Summary As the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission’s (COGCC) seeks to fulfill its statutory mandate to “require...
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Compared to other large oil and gas producing states, California and Ohio rank last in forcing the closure of idled, abandoned...
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Colorado’s ineffective financial assurance and well plugging rules have allowed the growth of a large portfolio of marginal and...
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Committing to net zero is not enough – the emissions reduction pathway is critical Carbon Tracker’s fifth annual...
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Financial assurance requirements are universally considered to be too low to pay for plugging and abandoning wells. An inventory...
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Oil and gas companies are increasingly announcing new climate goals as they seek to maintain a social licence to...
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Shell and Eni’s recent strategy updates have highlighted a key emerging point in the debate on oil and gas companies’...
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There’s a quip about lawyers that goes 99% of attorneys give the rest a bad name. The same can be said about oil producers...
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“Having looked to government for bread, on the first scarcity they will turn and bite the hand that fed them.” Edmund...
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2020 was a tough year for big oil. Short-term demand was hammered by the impacts of Covid-19, while the ever-growing...
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Emissions trajectories continue to bend lower Last month, both Shell and Eni revised their scope 3 emissions plans, updating...
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Fossil fuel-reliant countries could see a drop of 51% in government oil and gas revenues in a shift to a low-carbon world over...
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Carbon Tracker's Christmas Cracker had a makeover in 2020. This infographic originally went out in our December newsletter,...
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The energy transition will require oil and gas companies to fundamentally change the way they do business. Groundhog Pay...
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2020 has, to put it mildly, been full of surprises. Oil and gas companies, long predictable and averse to change, have even...
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The oil and gas industry, like many other commodity industries, has long been characterised by volatility, instability and...
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Between 2014 and the end of 2019, ExxonMobil 's return to shareholders was negative 10%. In September 2014, Carbon Tracker...
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Given the 24 hour news cycle around the US Congressional and Presidential Election, it would be easy to focus only on what...
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In a series of reports since 2011, Carbon Tracker has shown the financial and stranded asset risks to fossil fuel producers...
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There are 2.6 million unplugged onshore wells in the U.S., with another estimated 1.2 million that are undocumented. In It’s...
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BP has elaborated on its strategy to deliver net zero – cutting oil and gas production by “at least” 40% by...
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Click here to view Carbon Tracker's Annual Review 2019 In 2019 our objective was to accelerate the energy transition by...
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Carbon Tracker's modelling shows no new oil sands are needed in a low carbon world. Prospective pipelines and projects represent...
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There is growing recognition that drastic changes to oil and gas consumption are required to meet the finite limits of a global...
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The Earth's temperatures continue to rise causing catastrophic climate change. The risks of climate change are having major...
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Carbon Tracker pioneered work on the oil and gas industry’s “stranded assets”; as investors increasingly ask whether oil...
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The oil industry’s financial statements reflect climate change conflict Oil and gas companies have never been under more...
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Key findings: Our research shows that UK Export Finance supports upstream oil projects that seem very likely to become...
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At the end of February, Italian oil major Eni announced new carbon emissions reduction plans. While not aiming for net zero...
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In ancient Greek theatre, deus ex machina (“god from the machine”) is when a seemingly intractable plot issue is...
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This blog updates our 2018 note Carbon Budgets Explained. Carbon budgets – the amount of carbon dioxide emissions permitted...
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The Covid-19 crisis is showing up the oil and gas industry’s exposure to the threat of falling demand, a forewarning of what...
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One of last year’s key developments relating to climate change risks was a handful of fossil fuel producers agreeing to show...
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Written by: Greg Rogers, Theron Horton, Rob Schuwerk Is the goal to get out all of the oil, or get out of the retirement...
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The arms race in setting carbon emissions targets is such that Shell, once one of the industry leaders when it announced its...
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COVID-19 continues to shake the global economy, and energy markets are no exception. Oil in particular finds itself caught...
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Company executives pay practice doesn’t yet live up to climate ambition, with the gap between stated ambition and demonstrable...
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The piece originally was posted to LGIM Future World Blog on February 26, 2020. It is reprinted with permission. By Nick...
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Carbon Tracker’s fundamental insight is that the oil and gas industry’s growth plans do not fit in a low carbon world. As...
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Amid ever-increasing concerns over climate risks, BP is the latest European oil and gas company to announce a climate goal with...
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In this report, we look at the Inevitable Policy Response (IPR), which models the potential impacts of delayed tough...
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Repsol has just announced a shift in strategic direction – to become a net zero emissions company by 2050. This move extends...
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To deflate the carbon bubble and protect investors, oil & gas companies must shrink The world’s listed oil and gas majors...
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Carbon Tracker's mission is to align investors strategies to climate change action. We recognise that there is...
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Once upon a time – the 1990s if you are interested -- there was a wondrous oil company called Exxon. It was run by a clever...
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This report provides an update to our 2017 and 2018 "2 Degrees of Separation" reports, along with an updated methodology. The...
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The following piece originally was posted to Oilprice.com on March 3, 2019. It is reprinted with permission. Investors are...
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The UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) has reported on its recommended targets for the UK to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions...
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Why shareholders should rethink executive reward For much of the early part of this century, the oil and gas industry was in...
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In this study we review the remuneration practice used in the oil and gas industry and look at alignment with either growth or...
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Why carbon intensity ambitions are welcome, but strict limits on future project sanction remain the route to Paris...
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This blog originally appeared on the IEEFA website By Tom Sanzillo, Kathy Hipple and Clark Williams-Derry Invest in the...
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By Paul Spedding BP chief executive Bob Dudley is at risk of being branded an altruist if his “Oil and Money” speech to...
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Carbon capture and storage, or CCS, refers to technologies that allow us to capture CO2 at the source of its production and...
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One of the questions we are most frequently asked by investors is – how can we tell if a company is “Paris compliant”? This...
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This report updates our 2 Degrees of Separation report, published in June 2017 2 Degrees of Separation laid out a framework...
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EV Oil Demand Displacement Interactive Tool This report and accompanying interactive tool look exclusively at...
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Summary Occidental neglects demand fundamentals in its 2°C analysis and opts for the foregone conclusion of a test against...
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This study updates our report 2 Degrees of Separation, and for the first time quantifies risk of overinvestment under a 1.75ᵒC...
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ExxonMobil's Energy and Carbon Summary is a step in the right direction, but lacks clarity across a number of...
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A PDF version of this paper is available here. An updated version of this note is available now in Carbon Budgets: Where are...
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If you read just one thing this year…… first, it’s December! What took you so long?......second, make it this. Much...
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Headlines Growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in scenarios developed by some oil majors is ten years behind the level expected...
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What does a 2°C scenario mean for future refining capacity? In this paper, we look at how a scenario for oil demand that is...
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Explore the report webpage: 2degreeseparation.com This report, produced by Carbon Tracker, Principles for Responsible...
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Unexpectedly, the oil and gas love-in that is CERAWeek saw the latest round of climate risk disclosure emerging from the oil...
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The 12 Days of Carbon Tracker Well…that was different. 2016 has been quite the year of change. A year of political events that...
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Even if oil prices rise in the aftermath of the OPEC agreement on cutting production, the oil industry should be wary of...
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Why a 2°C business model is less risky than 'business-as-usual' for oil companies. The business model for many companies in the...
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Carbon Tracker’s reports and blogs are available in seven different languages: Arabic...
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U.S. and European oil and gas companies are under increasing pressure from shareholders to stress test their businesses against a...
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Oil majors could be worth up to $140 billion more by aligning production with climate targets
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A series of recent Forbes articles intend to cast doubt on the relevance of stranded asset risks to investors. Mark Fulton,...
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In 2016, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has a major opportunity to develop a new industry, an opportunity that became something of...
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By Paul Spedding, Former Global Co-Head of Oil And Gas Research at HSBC and Advisor to Carbon Tracker. First appeared on...
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Just because one of Britain's best loved vehicles rolled off the production line for the last time last week doesn't...
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Stranded Assets a Response: Myth or Reality? Late last year respected British economist Dieter Helm dismissed the concept of...
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The data is clear – the energy transition is underway, and the direction of travel is away from fossil fuels. But not everyone...
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Is Royal Dutch Shell, one of the world’s biggest oil and gas companies, really turning its back on fossil fuels? Not only has...
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Petrobras’ recent launch of a notional $2.5 billion worth of 100-year bonds has been viewed as evidence that investors,...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen As the world’s top financiers gather in Paris ahead of International Climate Finance Day on...
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The steep fall in the price of oil since the middle of last year has brought volatility back to the market with a vengeance,...
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The 2015 Oil Spending Review is in Full Swing With oil prices collapsing to between $50/$60 a barrel (at the...
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Over the past 18 months the Carbon Tracker Initiative has written a number of studies on the economics of the controversial...
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During 2014, following in the footsteps of Shell and ExxonMobil, oil and gas industry association IPIECA published a “fact...
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Carbon Tracker Initiative's Anthony Hobley argues that far from being a disaster for clean tech, low oil prices could aid...
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Carbon Tracker comment on US-China climate change agreement “For Carbon Tracker, today’s announcement of the “joint...
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Shell underestimates risk for up to $77 bln of high cost oil projects The Carbon Tracker Initiative (CTI) and Energy...
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This report is a risk analysis which provides a tool for the majority of investors who cannot simply divest, so they can...
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Exxon: Is business as normal the right strategy? Earlier this month, ExxonMobil published a document entitled, “Energy and...
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Carbon Tracker respond to the US Department of State's Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (FSEIS) with our new...
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The fourth in the series of Carbon Tracker's Unburnable Carbon reports, focuses on Brazil - a country with the fascinating...
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This new research from Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at LSE calls...
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Carbon Tracker and Standard & Poors have been working together on the implications of carbon constraints for credit ratings...
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This is the original report which pioneered the concept of the 'Carbon Bubble'. This award-winning analysis by Carbon...
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