Research
We carry out scenario analysis to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will impact the future of fossil fuel-exposed companies and projects. This analysis helps the investment community better understand the financial implications of tackling climate change
Popular Reports
How to waste over half a trillion dollars: The...
Coal
12 March 2020
Political decisions, economic realities: The...
Coal
08 April 2020
Powering down coal: Navigating the economic and...
Coal
30 November 2018
The A-Z of the Energy Transition: Knowns and Unknowns
Energy transition
24 April 2020
Oil
Blog
19 May 2020
Eni – the first oil company to lay out a strategy of managed decline?
At the end of February, Italian oil major Eni announced new carbon emissions reduction plans. While not aiming for net zero across all...
Oil
Blog
12 May 2020
Total’s extended emissions ambition: more of the same
In ancient Greek theatre, deus ex machina (“god from the machine”) is when a seemingly intractable plot issue is suddenly...
Oil
Blog
11 May 2020
Carbon budgets: Where are we now?
This blog updates our 2018 note Carbon Budgets Explained. Carbon budgets – the amount of carbon dioxide emissions permitted over a...
Oil
Blog
05 May 2020
You get what you pay for – O&G executive incentives destroy value, ignore climate
The Covid-19 crisis is showing up the oil and gas industry’s exposure to the threat of falling demand, a forewarning of what will happen...
Oil
Blog
23 April 2020
Testing testing: BP’s Paris goals consistency analysis raises more questions
One of last year’s key developments relating to climate change risks was a handful of fossil fuel producers agreeing to show how each...
Climate risk disclosure
Blog
20 April 2020
California Gives New Meaning to Stripper Wells
Written by: Greg Rogers, Theron Horton, Rob Schuwerk Is the goal to get out all of the oil, or get out of the retirement...Popular Reads
How to waste over half a trillion dollars: The economic implications of deflationary renewable energy for coal power investments
We carry out scenario analysis to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will...
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Political decisions, economic realities: The underlying operating cashflows of coal power during COVID-19
We carry out scenario analysis to examine and understand how potential changes to supply and demand will...
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The arms race in setting carbon emissions targets is such that Shell, once one of the industry leaders when it announced its...
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COVID-19 continues to shake the global economy, and energy markets are no exception. Oil in particular finds itself caught...
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Fanning the Flames: How executives continue to be rewarded to produce more...
Oil Analyst Note March 2020Company pay practice doesn’t yet live up to climate ambition, with the gap between stated ambition and demonstrable action...
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The piece originally was posted to LGIM Future World Blog on February 26, 2020. It is reprinted with permission. By Nick...
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The Flip Side: Stranded Assets and Stranded Liabilities
Climate risk disclosure Analyst Note February 2020Carbon Tracker’s fundamental insight is that the oil and gas industry’s growth plans do not fit in a low carbon world. As...
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Amid ever-increasing concerns over climate risks, BP is the latest European oil and gas company to announce a climate goal with...
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The cost of failing to anticipate an Inevitable Policy Response to climate change In this report, we look at the...
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Repsol has just announced a shift in strategic direction – to become a net zero emissions company by 2050. This move extends...
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To deflate the carbon bubble and protect investors, oil & gas companies must shrink The world’s listed oil and gas majors...
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Carbon Tracker's mission is to align investors strategies to climate change action. We recognise that there is...
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Once upon a time – the 1990s if you are interested -- there was a wondrous oil company called Exxon. It was run by a clever...
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This report provides an update to our 2017 and 2018 "2 Degrees of Separation" reports, along with an updated methodology. The...
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The following piece originally was posted to Oilprice.com on March 3, 2019. It is reprinted with permission. Investors are...
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The UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) has reported on its recommended targets for the UK to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions...
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Why shareholders should rethink executive reward For much of the early part of this century, the oil and gas industry was in...
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In this study we review the remuneration practice used in the oil and gas industry and look at alignment with either growth or...
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Why carbon intensity ambitions are welcome, but strict limits on future project sanction remain the route to Paris...
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This blog originally appeared on the IEEFA website By Tom Sanzillo, Kathy Hipple and Clark Williams-Derry Invest in the...
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By Paul Spedding BP chief executive Bob Dudley is at risk of being branded an altruist if his “Oil and Money” speech to...
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Carbon capture and storage, or CCS, refers to technologies that allow us to capture CO2 at the source of its production and...
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One of the questions we are most frequently asked by investors is – how can we tell if a company is “Paris compliant”? This...
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This report updates our 2 Degrees of Separation report, published in June 2017 2 Degrees of Separation laid out a framework...
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EV Oil Demand Displacement Interactive Tool This report and accompanying interactive tool look exclusively at...
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Trial and Error: Occidental’s first stab at climate-related risks
Climate risk disclosure Blog March 2018Summary Occidental neglects demand fundamentals in its 2°C analysis and opts for the foregone conclusion of a test against...
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This study updates our report 2 Degrees of Separation, and for the first time quantifies risk of overinvestment under a 1.75ᵒC...
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ExxonMobil's Energy and Carbon Summary is a step in the right direction, but lacks clarity across a number of...
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A PDF version of this paper is available here. An updated version of this note is available now in Carbon Budgets: Where are...
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If you read just one thing this year…… first, it’s December! What took you so long?......second, make it this. Much...
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Headlines Growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in scenarios developed by some oil majors is ten years behind the level expected...
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What does a 2°C scenario mean for future refining capacity? In this paper, we look at how a scenario for oil demand that is...
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Explore the report webpage: 2degreeseparation.com This report, produced by Carbon Tracker, Principles for Responsible...
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Unexpectedly, the oil and gas love-in that is CERAWeek saw the latest round of climate risk disclosure emerging from the oil...
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The 12 Days of Carbon Tracker Well…that was different. 2016 has been quite the year of change. A year of political events that...
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Even if oil prices rise in the aftermath of the OPEC agreement on cutting production, the oil industry should be wary of...
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Why a 2°C business model is less risky than 'business-as-usual' for oil companies. The business model for many companies in the...
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Carbon Tracker’s reports and blogs are available in seven different languages: Arabic -...
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U.S. and European oil and gas companies are under increasing pressure from shareholders to stress test their businesses against a...
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Oil majors could be worth up to $140 billion more by aligning production with climate targets
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A series of recent Forbes articles intend to cast doubt on the relevance of stranded asset risks to investors. Mark Fulton,...
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In 2016, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has a major opportunity to develop a new industry, an opportunity that became something of...
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By Paul Spedding, Former Global Co-Head of Oil And Gas Research at HSBC and Advisor to Carbon Tracker. First appeared on...
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Just because one of Britain's best loved vehicles rolled off the production line for the last time last week doesn't...
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Stranded Assets a Response: Myth or Reality? Late last year respected British economist Dieter Helm dismissed the concept of...
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The data is clear – the energy transition is underway, and the direction of travel is away from fossil fuels. But not everyone...
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Is Royal Dutch Shell, one of the world’s biggest oil and gas companies, really turning its back on fossil fuels? Not only has...
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Petrobras’ recent launch of a notional $2.5 billion worth of 100-year bonds has been viewed as evidence that investors,...
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First appeared in BusinessGreen As the world’s top financiers gather in Paris ahead of International Climate Finance Day on...
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The steep fall in the price of oil since the middle of last year has brought volatility back to the market with a vengeance,...
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The 2015 Oil Spending Review is in Full Swing With oil prices collapsing to between $50/$60 a barrel (at the...
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Over the past 18 months the Carbon Tracker Initiative has written a number of studies on the economics of the controversial...
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During 2014, following in the footsteps of Shell and ExxonMobil, oil and gas industry association IPIECA published a “fact...
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Carbon Tracker Initiative's Anthony Hobley argues that far from being a disaster for clean tech, low oil prices could aid...
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Carbon Tracker comment on US-China climate change agreement “For Carbon Tracker, today’s announcement of the “joint...
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Shell underestimates risk for up to $77 bln of high cost oil projects The Carbon Tracker Initiative (CTI) and Energy...
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This report is a risk analysis which provides a tool for the majority of investors who cannot simply divest, so they can...
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Exxon: Is business as normal the right strategy? Earlier this month, ExxonMobil published a document entitled, “Energy and...
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Carbon Tracker respond to the US Department of State's Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (FSEIS) with our new...
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The fourth in the series of Carbon Tracker's Unburnable Carbon reports, focuses on Brazil - a country with the fascinating...
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This new research from Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at LSE calls...
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Carbon Tracker and Standard & Poors have been working together on the implications of carbon constraints for credit ratings...
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This is the original report which pioneered the concept of the 'Carbon Bubble'. This award-winning analysis by Carbon...
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